This survey was conducted January 2nd through 6th, 2019 by Outreach Strategists. Live callers were utilized over these five days, and the instrument was delivered in English. The calls were split between landlines (48 percent) and cellphones (52 percent).
The 1,046 sample has a margin of error of 3.03 percent, and is weighted to reflect the demographics of likely voters for the 2020 general election.
The margin of sampling error describes how close a survey result is to the true population value. Polling surveys only reach a sample of the overall population, so they do not “perfectly” match the result if everyone in the population was actually interviewed.
Here, the margin of error of plus or minus 3.03 percentage points at the 95 percent confidence level means if this survey was fielded 100 times, the polling results would be within 3.03 percentage points of the total population 95 of those times. This is an industry standard threshold for public opinion research.
Due to length, split samples were utilized within the instrument and the margins of error for these samples are slightly greater.
- Sample A (Q10, 11; 14-17; 19, 20) has 527 respondents with a MoE of +/- 4.27 percent
- Sample B (Q12) has 519 respondents with a MoE of +/- 4.30 percent
- All other questions (Q1-9; 18) has 1,046 respondents with a MoE of +/- 3.03 percent